October 16, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Truly a Gem |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foolstone |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Edie Wiggins |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Astounding Abby |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seismic Belle |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Milady’s Secret |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Goldie’s Darlins |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swiss Script |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Iknowyourface |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild Derby Daze |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Choteau |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mike Man’s Bro |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Outdidya |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Conquest Nitro |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alaskan Cruise |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dee’s Luck |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rosie’s Reward |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Meet At Jakes |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Crystal Mtn Stormy |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
He’s Gatsby |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catchthewoodnapper |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wings of Wisdom |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Toro John |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ragtime Beat |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Iron Sway |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stay in Power |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Beefcake |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Delineator Express |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kenai King |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Memphis Mobster |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Justa Gusta |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hunterwood Point |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Doc |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Mykx Bull |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Murmansk |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Always Outnumberd |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Tybee Island |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fear of the Cat |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kendini |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Terrello |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Valid Prince |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yossi |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magarita Man |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Boy Rudy |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Known Defense |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bobbygenesjustice |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Kings Court |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Rallying Market |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Seeking a Mystery |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sweet Swindler |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Crimson Warlock |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Empire Ruler |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Brenner |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Formal Joker |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Top Estate |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
I B Tanner |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Credit Line |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Westley |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thunder |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Son John |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Woody’s Folly |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jackson Teller |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dark Morning |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Long Game |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dawson Who |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Please Be Me |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Straight Bourbon |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ryan Walt |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Where’s My Voucher |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hashtag Bae |
2.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coming in Hot |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Outoftheclouds |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.