October 14, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Identity Politics | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carom | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Duncastle | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | American Rule | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Tiz Morning | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | First Warrior | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arch Contender | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Infield Is In | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rockin Jo | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blurred Line | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Industrial Logic | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cookie Crisp | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Save the Sangria | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot Mesa | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Party On Prospect | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pay the Price | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Huracan | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Via Castagna | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinnyvinvincent | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Sequence | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Salty | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miko | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Aja Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Free N Clear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Alabama Bound | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Diamond Play | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Miss Nancy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Fine | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | My Won Love | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Owesaycanyousee | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Woundwithhereyes | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cartayon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Six Brothers | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grammi Dance | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Source | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get Along | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Note | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Peanut | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tell You What | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highest Rank | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paid by Parm | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gravitating | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Lil Commissioner | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Florentine Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Three Perfections | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Themanbehindtheman | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12A | 10 | Cumulative | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ten Eyck | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Knight | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Strings | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ego | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Risky Sour | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jegos Fire | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fair Regis | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Byself | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Freud | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cartwheel | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Satin Sheets | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decorator Jenn | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Held Accountable | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Point Of Entry S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secret Passage | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tizzarunner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hello Don Julio | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patterson Cross | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Postulation | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Just Howard | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Im the Captain Now | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mr Maybe | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quietly Quick | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Anne’s Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Union Patriot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Justenuff Hope | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Parlapiano | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unparalleled | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nazay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Saturdaynightfling | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Miss Juno | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 4 | Reconsider It | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Smart Throb | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Burkey’s Babe | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Exceed the Goal | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Catania Rose | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Galway Girl | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.