October 13, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Indygo Bo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Kidding | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Popyhowuspelcupcak | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dedicated to You | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Up | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shirl’s Ready | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Elwood J | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Rosie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Will Re Joyce | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bragging Rights | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atrevida | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Glass | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ciao Luna | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Rahy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ashley’s Charms | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Quinnie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Audubon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Gone to Town | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lethal Legacy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Copper Fever | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Arrowsphere | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Jabber Now | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Don’t Pass | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Dad | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Asaro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Spendaholic | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cruel Intention | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peedie | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Teacher’s Treasure | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Angel | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marjorie E | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Charmingslew | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rolling Shadow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | So Golden | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | X S Gold | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Mo See Cal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Thalia | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sapphire Kid | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitha Bonita | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cal Pack Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Whata Flirt | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Venice | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Queen Shelly Ann | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Alexis | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheyenne Dancer | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Hand | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Omerta | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yes Virginia | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Martha | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coco Kisses | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paprika | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Into Rissa | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smoovie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Finish | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Absolutely Perfect | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribal Ann | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Encountress | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beau Square | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Princess Roi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Helen’s Tiger | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | How About Zero | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | S Y Sky | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Meet and Greet | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Love a Honeybadger | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Ismelucky | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Late ‘n Left | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hailey Rachele | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Family Girl | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A Salute to Lt Dan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Two Fifty Coup | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Mr. Class | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samurai Jack | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redrock Trail | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lifesbeengoodsofar | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jonathantoquick | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonsail Treasure | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Magic Bro | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nations Hope | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrensdirtydancer | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Empirical Data | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Silent Musketier | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chatty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nice Ice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ladybug | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Great Return | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pursuing The Dream (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Easy Grader | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Lightning Dove | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Well Hello | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Tyfosha | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Clearly Gone | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Media Tone | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demigoddess | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Snaked | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.