Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 13, 2018

October 13, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’m Thirsty 1.40 3 6-1
1 1 Hersisterisachub 5.00 3.4 6-1
1A 5 Hy Rapid Lady 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 Oaks (BRZ) 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Black Queen 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Backyard Boogie 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 6 Cheri’s Win 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 8 Boxing Betty 8.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Willows Babe 1.20 2.2 4-1
2 2 Deserted 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 La Vale 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 I Cried a Tear 1.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Congaree Rose 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Desirous 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Enchantabull 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Lion and the Wolf 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jimmy Idontknowya 1.50 3 6-1
2 2 Midnight Honey 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Peter G. Fox 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Mead Hall 1.80 3.6 7-1
3 3 Rebel Traveller 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Stabler 30.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Wise Jude 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Louie Lunchbox 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Act of Madness 20.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Rings of Jupiter 1.20 3.5 7-1
1 1 Battle Tap 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Kowboy King 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 J R Jellybean 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Hurry Up Alan 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Belly Dancer 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Golden Rivet 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lost Princess 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wonderful Savvy 3.50 3 6-1
7 6 Flashndynamite 1.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Nothin But a Smile 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Red Wagon 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Novembertoremember 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Rove 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Pretty Venezuela 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Savannah’s Dream 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Princess Rose 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Helloitsme 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Curtis 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stand and Salute 20.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Jack O Liam 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Credo 2.00 2.8 5-1
1A 5 Giant Trick 5.00 3.4 7-1
2 1 Draxhall Woods 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 4 Burntwood 10.00 5 9-1
8 6 Fara’s Kid 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 El Grande Rojo 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Greatness 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Son of Sanibel 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Staynsidethecircle 6.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Lightning Buzz 2.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bennyluvspoker 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Dead Broke 20.00 6.3 12-1
12 11 D. S. Boyd 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Tempestuous Angel 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Musical Comedy 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Chill Factor 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 True Blue 30.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Graymond 30.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Smooth B 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 A Different Style 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Singanothersong 1.80 2.9 6-1
3 3 Midtowncharlybrown 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tighten Up 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Navy Commander 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Red Razzo 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Auldwood Lane 1.80 SCRATCH
1A 8 Nth Degree 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Misschief Maas 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Modacious 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 8 Peach Alley 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Lady by Choice 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Alter Rhythm 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 5 Ignite 20.00 5 9-1
4 3 Sensational Toy 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Doctorsofmischief 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Star of Sarava 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Martywiththeparty 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Saltine Warrior 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Mach Trial 2.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Yourdreamsormine 1.60 4.7 9-1
5 5 Malibu High 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Afleet Martini 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Sallisaw 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Demand 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Alturist 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Final Ritual 30.00 8.9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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