October 13, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m Thirsty | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hersisterisachub | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Hy Rapid Lady | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Oaks (BRZ) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Queen | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backyard Boogie | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Cheri’s Win | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Boxing Betty | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Willows Babe | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deserted | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Vale | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Cried a Tear | 1.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Congaree Rose | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desirous | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enchantabull | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lion and the Wolf | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Idontknowya | 1.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Honey | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peter G. Fox | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mead Hall | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Traveller | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stabler | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wise Jude | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Louie Lunchbox | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Act of Madness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Rings of Jupiter | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Tap | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kowboy King | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | J R Jellybean | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hurry Up Alan | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belly Dancer | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Rivet | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lost Princess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wonderful Savvy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flashndynamite | 1.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nothin But a Smile | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Wagon | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Novembertoremember | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rove | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pretty Venezuela | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah’s Dream | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princess Rose | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Helloitsme | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Curtis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stand and Salute | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Jack O Liam | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Credo | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Giant Trick | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Draxhall Woods | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Burntwood | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fara’s Kid | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | El Grande Rojo | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Greatness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Son of Sanibel | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Staynsidethecircle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Buzz | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bennyluvspoker | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dead Broke | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | D. S. Boyd | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tempestuous Angel | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Musical Comedy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chill Factor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Blue | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Graymond | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smooth B | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | A Different Style | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Singanothersong | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midtowncharlybrown | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tighten Up | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Navy Commander | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Razzo | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Auldwood Lane | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Nth Degree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Misschief Maas | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Modacious | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Peach Alley | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady by Choice | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alter Rhythm | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Ignite | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sensational Toy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doctorsofmischief | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Star of Sarava | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Martywiththeparty | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saltine Warrior | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mach Trial | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yourdreamsormine | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu High | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Afleet Martini | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sallisaw | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demand | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alturist | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Final Ritual | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.