October 13, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Single Mission | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Steppin Bucky | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Who’s Back | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Llenado | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky’s Ransom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blackwynn | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golda | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballerina Kitten | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andrea’s Hope | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sainte Therese | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie’s Magic | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Queen | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banana Kova | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conquistodor Fuego | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | California King | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brightest Star | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Seventyseven Force | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Space Key | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Geronimo’s Spirit | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justa Scratch | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dangerus Hearted | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mister Obvious | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Full Redemption | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | On the Hop | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Joxy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Miss | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dorothyfromdublin | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Gold | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timuquana Place | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Cause | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soon Mia Soon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marvelous Martha | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Safely Touch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Earned the Shot | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Issue a Warrant | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshineinmypocket | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whimsical Delight | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Moment | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Honey Money | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buy for Less | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saratoga Angel | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Readytotapit | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunman | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vampa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Success Hurricane | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charging Lion | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Rig | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gadget Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Howyaformoney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Royal Marine | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Showmeister | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thornton | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart But Foolish | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pep the Champ | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cuban Cowboy | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Caller | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seve | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Cristian Go | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feelin Groovy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Revival | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.