October 13, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Herecomesyourman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lemonist | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Financial System | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wet Your Whistle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Apartfromthecrowd | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | High Moon | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rockford | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sal the Turtle | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brimstone | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Guy Ian | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Kranz | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sol the Freud | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Manche | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bernardino | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pirelli Tower | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Magnetron | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Jazz | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bad Guy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paynter’s Prize | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Perfect Joke | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Life’s a Parlay | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Earned Success | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Quality | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Breez | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | His Name Is Sue | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Astrology Hill | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neon | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Kiss | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montana Skeptic | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paddydunalot | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run From Theheat | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Pleasantly | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Positive Skew | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Catsoutofthebag | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flying the Colors | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Calabrisella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tweety Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | I’m Guilty | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brooke Marie | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Style and Grace | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tricky Tune | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Princess Trina | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Secret Alchemy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Full Salute | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarf It Down | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missle Bomb | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Fast to Pass | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imasuperstar | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Farm | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Floral Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Policy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Posse Needed | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Alexandra | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lull | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Orecchiette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Annie Rocks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Always Thinking | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Tillie’s Lily | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Fire Key | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Battle Joined | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Fear No Evil | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Black Canary | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pebbles S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Significant Form | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cool Beans | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Goodthingstaketime (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Got Stormy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stella di Camelot (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Monte Crista | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Victorine (FR) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Striking | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Andina Del Sur | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Altea (FR) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Closer Still (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adorable Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Unparalleled | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crater Rim | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Low Is Laine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Uconnmarsh | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dynamite Kitten | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Anne’s Song | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Smiles From Sadie | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 4 | Handle With Care | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Manhattan Lady | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Needs No Ice | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.