Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 13, 2018

October 13, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Herecomesyourman 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lemonist 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Financial System 1.20 2.4 5-1
4 3 Wet Your Whistle 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Apartfromthecrowd 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 High Moon 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rockford 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Sal the Turtle 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Brimstone 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Big Guy Ian 1.80 3.7 7-1
2 2 King Kranz 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sol the Freud 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Chosen One Elijah 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 La Manche 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bernardino 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pirelli Tower 1.60 SCRATCH
3 2 Magnetron 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Jimmy Jazz 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 5 Bad Guy 3.00 3.4 7-1
4 3 Paynter’s Prize 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Perfect Joke 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Life’s a Parlay 0.80 2 4-1
2 2 Earned Success 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Regal Quality 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Morning Breez 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 His Name Is Sue 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Astrology Hill 1.40 2.8 5-1
6 6 Neon 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Majestic Kiss 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Montana Skeptic 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Know Point Given 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Paddydunalot 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Run From Theheat 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Flying Pleasantly 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Positive Skew 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Catsoutofthebag 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Flying the Colors 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Calabrisella 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tweety Kitten 30.00 SCRATCH
3 2 I’m Guilty 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Brooke Marie 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Style and Grace 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Tricky Tune 4.00 4 7-1
2 1 Jasminesque 10.00 4 8-1
9 6 Princess Trina 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 7 Secret Alchemy 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Full Salute 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Scarf It Down 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Missle Bomb 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Too Fast to Pass 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Imasuperstar 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Happy Farm 4.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Floral Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rocky Policy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Posse Needed 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Alexandra 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Lull 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Orecchiette 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Annie Rocks 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Yorkiepoo Princess 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Always Thinking 15.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Tillie’s Lily 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 2 Fire Key 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 4 Battle Joined 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Jc’s Shooting Star 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 5 Fear No Evil 12.00 4.7 9-1
12 6 Black Canary 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pebbles S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Significant Form 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Cool Beans 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Goodthingstaketime (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Got Stormy 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Stella di Camelot (IRE) 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Monte Crista 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Victorine (FR) 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Souper Striking 30.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Kitten’s Covergirl 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Andina Del Sur 15.00 5.6 11-1
12 9 Altea (FR) 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 7 Closer Still (IRE) 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Adorable Song 6.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Unparalleled 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Crater Rim 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Molly’s Nighthawk 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Low Is Laine 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Uconnmarsh 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dynamite Kitten 1.80 2.7 5-1
10 5 Anne’s Song 6.00 3 6-1
11 6 Smiles From Sadie 1.60 3.3 6-1
7A 4 Handle With Care 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Manhattan Lady 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Needs No Ice 20.00 5.2 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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