Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 12, 2018

October 12, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reimagined 0.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Butterfly Strike 0.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Pugsley 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Milwaukee Magic 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rakeitin 0.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Vilma 0.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Wickstead 0.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gwendoline H 0.00 2 4-1
3 3 Green Doctor 0.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Discreet Bear 0.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Suzette 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Patton’s Girl 0.00 5 9-1
6 6 My Cantata 0.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Rare Integrity 0.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Madison Way 0.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 A Mi Dat 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Crawl From the Bar 0.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ready to Run 0.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dot’s Last Call 0.00 4 8-1
6 6 Braver Then We Are 0.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Almost Perfect 0.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 John Paul Jones 0.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Hedeman 0.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Omi’s Boy 0.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bangla Dancer 0.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Wild N Clever 0.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lady St Clements 0.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Hansen’s Girl 0.00 5 10-1
6 6 Funny Funny Riddle 0.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sweet Rhapsody 0.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Lady Brie 0.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Victory Cry 0.00 6 11-1
9 8 Capture Your Heart 0.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Majestic Melody 0.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Change At the Top 0.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Hit the Ticket 0.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Wave of the Future 0.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dramatic Kitten 0.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Big Hambone 0.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Insider Trading 0.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Osage Moon 0.00 7 13-1
10 10 Oh Danny Bear 0.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Encierro 0.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Point of Order 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Soul n’ Spirit 0.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Gunner Ben 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 First Victory 0.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Kyslios’s Justice 0.00 5 9-1
8 8 Terrafirma 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Je Suis Charlie 0.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Just for Rose 0.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bakersfield 0.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Rocket Plan 0.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Tale of Ronin 0.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mangold 0.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Fearless Freak 0.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Tinker Ring 0.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Where’s Anthony 0.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Perlarana 0.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Arrius 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bet On Mike 0.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Fire for Effect 0.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Flying Ghost 0.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Spirit of Caledon 0.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Family Kitten 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Royal Laser 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yes It’s Dyna 0.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Potra Liza 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bold n’ Foxy 0.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Easy Bid 0.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Whileyousleeping 0.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Court Time 0.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 True Ambition 0.00 6.9 13-1
8 7 Fabulist 0.00 7 13-1
13 12 House On the Hill 0.00 7.1 14-1
10 9 Petite Amie 0.00 7.2 14-1
12 11 Sadie Irene 0.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 Coddiwomple 0.00 8.5 16-1
9 8 Wildcat Rising 0.00 8.9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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