October 11, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cat Lak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Bobby | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Doll | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Icy Lady | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Creedibility | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ruby Punch | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Student Union | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sir Bond | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zandar | 1.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scrapple | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anonym | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky the Kid | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Small Giant | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dan’s Girl | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Krivoruchka | 1.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elle Va | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Keswick | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scorpion Dancer | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Majorette | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Personal Server | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Purring Valentine | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Love That Fountain | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Nekia | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Dream of Hero | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Smoochin Candy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rachaels Way | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Thing | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hope for the Dance | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Atlantis Romance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Porte Cochere | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissin Cassie | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe’s Gift | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor N Grace | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passing Pfast | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Tandy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sterling General | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Swell | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Be a Hero | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polished Steel | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Burford | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alfredo Romana | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | King Dublin | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conscience | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Kid Slipper | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Statesboro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Savage Music | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Threethehardway | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Jabbar | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Too Many Shoes | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Steps to Glory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | DARTYN KRISS SWA | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | QUICK AND RICH | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | TM MADDAMEE | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | THESS IS AWESOME | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | MYSTICAL MHF | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | CHNDAKASEXPRESS | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | BURN NOTICE MC | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.