Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 11, 2018

October 11, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cat Lak 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rolling Bobby 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Flashy Doll 1.80 2 4-1
3 2 Icy Lady 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 3 Creedibility 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Ruby Punch 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Student Union 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sir Bond 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Zandar 1.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Scrapple 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Anonym 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rocky the Kid 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Small Giant 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dan’s Girl 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Miss Krivoruchka 1.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Elle Va 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Lady Keswick 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Scorpion Dancer 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Silver Majorette 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Personal Server 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Purring Valentine 2.50 3.1 6-1
1A 9 Love That Fountain 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Princess Nekia 1.80 4.4 8-1
4 3 Dream of Hero 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Smoochin Candy 12.00 5 10-1
6 6 Rachaels Way 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Sweet Thing 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Hope for the Dance 12.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Atlantis Romance 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Porte Cochere 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Kissin Cassie 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Joe’s Gift 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Honor N Grace 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Passing Pfast 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Sweet Tandy 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sterling General 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Swell 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Be a Hero 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Polished Steel 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 6 Burford 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Alfredo Romana 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 King Dublin 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Conscience 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Kid Slipper 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Statesboro 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 4 Savage Music 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 3 Threethehardway 1.80 3 6-1
4 2 Jabbar 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 1 Too Many Shoes 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Steps to Glory 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 DARTYN KRISS SWA 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 QUICK AND RICH 1.80 3.2 6-1
4 3 TM MADDAMEE 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 THESS IS AWESOME 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 MYSTICAL MHF 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 BURN NOTICE MC 15.00 4.7 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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