October 11, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rose of Dublin | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tropical Storm Em | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quietude | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Birds | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alphabetting | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Flair | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Lumberjane | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blissful Breeze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Avery Maeve | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Free Kitty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pretti Tricki | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Hoponthebusgus | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Courageous Queen | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | La Naturel (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Hexameter | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Factoring | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Angel Food | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Banty’s Girl | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Shanghai Glory | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Mason Factor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wild William | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Causforcelebration | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bunyan’s Axe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Our American Star | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cuarenta | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sir Frost | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | There Goes Jose | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ridolfo | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Tell Me Ma | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Stag of Sylvia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Daddy D T | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hardly a Secret | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bad Student | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chunnel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Doyouknowsomething | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Top of the Page | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Professor Snape | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Honey Won’t | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bronxville | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cotton House | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Secular Stagnation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Social Currency (KOR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Primary Crossing | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Impunity | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willing to Speed | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Angelo’s Corner | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mid Day Image | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Golden Brew | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Americano | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dearly Declared | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Style | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnitesalright | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mary’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call It a Truce | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s So Shea D | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roziere | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Tell Addie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alreadycelebrating | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Papa Shot | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chris and Dave | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weather Wiz | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Tough | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Money Dance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asterisk | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pagliacci | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Currency | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Shane | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Major Force | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dirty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fast Boat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Discretionary Marq | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Yummy Bear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bam Bam Blu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fully Vested | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Morning Breez | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Win With Pride | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Corot | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Adonis Creed (FR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ode to the Hunt | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Altar Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Neoclassic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shamcat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bow Tie Affair | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | With Exultation | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Muggsamatic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cloontia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Indebted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mobridge | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Natural Order | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 3 | Monaco | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 1 | Poshsky | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 4 | Extinct Charm | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 2 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.