October 11, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rose of Dublin 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tropical Storm Em 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Girl of Tosconova 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Quietude 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Three Birds 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Alphabetting 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Devil’s Flair 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 She’s a Lumberjane 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Blissful Breeze 15.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Avery Maeve 0.80 SCRATCH
3 2 Free Kitty 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pretti Tricki 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Hoponthebusgus 0.80 2.5 5-1
4 2 Courageous Queen 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 La Naturel (IRE) 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 6 Hexameter 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 3 Factoring 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 5 Angel Food 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 4 Banty’s Girl 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 8 Shanghai Glory 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Mason Factor 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wild William 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Causforcelebration 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bunyan’s Axe 15.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Our American Star 1.40 2.6 5-1
3 2 Cuarenta 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 4 Sir Frost 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 6 There Goes Jose 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Ridolfo 30.00 5 10-1
12 8 Tell Me Ma 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 5 Blessed Honour 30.00 5.9 11-1
11 7 Stag of Sylvia 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Turco Bravo (CHI) 1.80 SCRATCH
1A 7 Daddy D T 1.80 2 4-1
5 4 Hardly a Secret 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Bad Student 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 Chunnel 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Doyouknowsomething 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Top of the Page 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Professor Snape 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Honey Won’t 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bronxville 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cotton House 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Secular Stagnation 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Social Currency (KOR) 4.50 SCRATCH
9 6 Primary Crossing 2.50 3.2 6-1
11 7 Impunity 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Willing to Speed 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 5 Angelo’s Corner 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 4 Mid Day Image 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Golden Brew 20.00 5.3 10-1
13 8 Americano 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Bridgetothefuture 30.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dearly Declared 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Saratoga Style 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Midnitesalright 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mary’s Girl 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Call It a Truce 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 She’s So Shea D 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Roziere 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Don’t Tell Addie 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Alreadycelebrating 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Papa Shot 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Chris and Dave 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Weather Wiz 1.20 3.3 6-1
6 6 Rocky Tough 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 The Money Dance 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Asterisk 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pagliacci 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bourbon Currency 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dr. Shane 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Major Force 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dirty 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Fast Boat 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Discretionary Marq 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Yummy Bear 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bam Bam Blu 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Fully Vested 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 2 Morning Breez 5.00 3.1 6-1
13 4 Win With Pride 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 3 Corot 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Adonis Creed (FR) 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Ode to the Hunt 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Altar Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Neoclassic 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shamcat 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bow Tie Affair 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 With Exultation 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Muggsamatic 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cloontia 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Indebted 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mobridge 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Natural Order 12.00 SCRATCH
15 3 Monaco 3.00 2.4 4-1
8 1 Poshsky 8.00 2.7 5-1
16 4 Extinct Charm 4.00 3.3 6-1
12 2 Aire Bueno (CHI) 20.00 3.6 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.