October 10, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trusting Friend 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Sir Paulie Walnuts 1.80 3.1 6-1
1 1 Dutch Blitz 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Nekia 3.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Apollo Eleven 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Unbridled Piper 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mary Costa 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Renee’s Cat 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Socially Driven 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Likeagirl 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Baccarat Fashion 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Takin It Easy 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Trickizar 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hope for the Dance 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 California King 1.60 SCRATCH
3 2 American Colossus 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Swag (JPN) 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Gunpowderandsmoke 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 4 Light Affair 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Mrmistakenidentity 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ghostly Games 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pleiadian 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Rumblin Kyle 1.80 3.3 6-1
5 4 Cause He’s Western 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Sixshooterjunction 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Snowfly 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Watch Your Words 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 So Kitten 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Threethehardway 2.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Joe Specs 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Tappin Cat 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Samadi Blue 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Honor Run 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Padrino’s Heart 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Smoky Smoke 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Brazen Prince 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Princess Akris 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 My Golden Rose 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Secret Rose 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Go Black Betty 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 5 Don’s Escapade 6.00 4 7-1
6 4 Ms Elegance 8.00 4 8-1
4 3 Spender 10.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Conscience 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 4 Shoe Loves Shoe 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Willie B Mine 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Nick the Cardshark 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Doodle Hopper 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Match Up 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 4 Double the Cheers 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Epic Drama 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Prudhoe Bay 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Winter Melody S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barley Jack 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Nyx Warrior 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Indian Paint 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bluegrass Flag 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Angel At War 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wowwhatabrat 20.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Ready to Confess 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 3 Sine Wave 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 5 Bishop’s Pond 3.50 3.5 7-1
12 6 Tequilita 4.50 4 7-1
4 2 Enthrall 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 4 Hey Niki 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 6 PAMS MASQUERADE 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 RB HOCUS POCUS 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 1 UPTOWN FLYING FLYNN 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 ZELLS BELLS 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 SERGEANT PEPPER MHF 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 A REAL DIVA 8.00 5.5 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.