Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 8, 2018

October 8, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Love On a Fence 0.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sea Sparkle 0.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Bear Hugs 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sister Peacock 0.00 4 8-1
5 5 Wise Chance 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Anthecrowdgoeswild 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Dynamic Solution 0.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Riker 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Pablo Del Monte 0.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Wage Acceleration 0.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Thunder Point 0.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Perfect Forester 0.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Sumerian Bell 0.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Cat Zapper 0.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Three Ring Circus 0.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent Mistake 0.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Showbiz Lady 0.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Moksgmol 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Step by Step 0.00 4 7-1
5 5 Sailing By 0.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Georgian Dancer 0.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Auntie Katherine 0.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Miss Artie Deco 0.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lonhro’scollection 0.00 2.9 6-1
5 3 Calais Cove 0.00 4.7 9-1
8 5 Mamita’s Chica 0.00 5.9 11-1
4 2 Hanchy 0.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Touch of Glitter 0.00 7.3 14-1
7 4 Gabby’s Ballerina 0.00 7.5 14-1
9 6 Excommunicate 0.00 8 15-1
11 11 Show Me the Prize 0.00 8.2 15-1
12 7 Audrey Grace 0.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Rattlesnake Bite 0.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonstone 0.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Descente 0.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Italian Summer 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Calais Cat 0.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Einstein’s Babe 0.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Samurai Queen 0.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Amiens 0.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 She’s in Charge 0.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Above All Names 0.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Lionessa 0.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thirty Nine Seven 0.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hey Hey Run Away 0.00 4 8-1
6 6 Roxham 0.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kallan 0.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Ask the Boss 0.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Hockey Hair 0.00 6 11-1
9 9 Sam’s Cross 0.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Tornado Cat 0.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Turbo Driven Diva 0.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 It’snicetobenice 0.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Freshieintheforest 0.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bunty Lawless S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kingsport 0.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sweet Grass Creek 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Boreal Spirit 0.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Be Vewy Vewy Quiet 0.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ethical Funds 0.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Thor’s Rocket 0.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Where’s the Widget 0.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Nipigon 0.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Eskiminzin 0.00 7 13-1
8 8 Red Cabernet 0.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Colleen’s Sailor 0.00 3 6-1
3 3 Dom the Bomb 0.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tevez 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Go Greeley 0.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Phil in the Blank 0.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Dan the Tin Man 0.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Pat Daddy 0.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Indiantown Sunrise 0.00 7 13-1
7 7 Be the Change 0.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Valiant Flame 0.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 McGarrett 0.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Chiefroll’nthunder 0.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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