October 7, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Captain Handsome | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gideon’s Sword | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honduras | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystery Messenger | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Ahead | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Now We Are Nine | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seventh Wonder | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Real Coal | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patton’s Girl | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Islay Inlet | 0.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Safari Kitten | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Alnilah | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Magic Spell | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Curluck | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Redoute’s Light | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makemineamanhattan | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nestleton Hush | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leonard’s Bay | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prideofdistinction | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joe Clocker | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blakey | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Anonymously | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glittering Snow | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Farfalla | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Music Major | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 7 | Peggy’s Cove | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Red Hot Kitten | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Joy’s Solution | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Kitten | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 6 | A Broken Breeze | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Diamonds and Roses | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awsome Moi | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Grit | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s the Gold | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Davka | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Like Me | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Take Checks | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Chill | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ox Trot | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Art of Almost | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Charlotte | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maritime Breeze | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avie’s Sky | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Munch and Crunch | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Marner | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Scat’s Rose | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salsita Roja | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Pretty Point | 0.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chilling Secret | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Extension | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tishina | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Silver | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Gee | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marcus | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coolshade | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emperor John | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cup And Saucer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hesathriller | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Magician | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avie’s Flatter | 0.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ojiisan | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Like Larry | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Bold Script | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Kitten’s Girl | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Moon Swings | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Groundhog Day | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Flying Curlin | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Superduper Sky | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ladies Night | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Tempest | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A. A. Azula’s Arch | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silhouette | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Great Bay | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holy Fort | 0.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynatown | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Chestnut Grove | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Wonder | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One for Nicki | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Vow to Kitten | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Timberlea | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Money Talker | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Animaux | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bazinga | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Solution | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chris’ Brew | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willy’s Castle | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run to the Bank | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish River | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon First | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.