October 7, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Berberslilbriebrie |
1.20 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Argumentative |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Best Life |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pastiche |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saratoga Angel |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Step N Out |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Powder Puff Girl |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mo Maddnes |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rove |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hanna Due |
0.40 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Layla’s Voyage |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Somethingwithlilly |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Elijah’s Party |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Georgia Bonnet |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bird of Prey |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Haley’s Thunder |
1.40 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Rashelle |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Lu |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hello Moon |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Soft Landing |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
High Math |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Flippity Flop |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whitney Cove |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Resonate |
0.80 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dereya |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Month of Sundays |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barb’s Gray Girl |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dilly Dedalus |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Empty House |
1.80 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
She Loves Leather |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frequently |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trousseau |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iwishirish |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s Had Enough |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dudes Rockin Lady |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Honorable Service |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11B |
11 |
Act of Madness |
1.50 |
SCRATCH |
7A |
6 |
Avalanche Rock |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10B |
9 |
Aimed |
1.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Smarty Mr D |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8A |
7 |
Greed Is Good |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Puppy Manners |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Wildcatpleasures |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Golden Rivet |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Social Network |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rossie Val |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8A |
8 |
Cardi G |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dreamer’s Moon |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hailey’s Way |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pantaloni |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9A |
8 |
Strega Nonna |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don Vito’s Kitty |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smarter Than U |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
True Upgrade |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diva Drama |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Roethlisberger |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Team Ribot |
4.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alwanees |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amatteroftime |
1.60 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
These Blues |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flyboy |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Drosselmagic |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sea Swap |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Sancho Del Pueblo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
We Wilburn You |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Distinctive Ride |
1.20 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Proudmiamicitizen |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Debonaire Man |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Ataway Max |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
9 |
Spartan Pride |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
7 |
Kion |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lucky Clemen |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
West Shore Drive |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.