October 5, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Daddy D T | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bad Student | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ekhtibaar | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souperfast | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monster Bea | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wake Forest (GER) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roman Approval | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honey I’m Good | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Type | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Retro Street | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Limit Babe | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hand Rail | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marina View | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bizness Beauty | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Her Way | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Helooksthepart | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Bolita Boyz | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3B | 2 | Dowse’s Beach | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5B | 4 | Fig Jelly | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | End Play | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stolen Pistol | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Blessed Halo | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Orchid Party | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Princess Areni | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Aggregator | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elizabeth Nicole | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Nikki’s Bad | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tee Up | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tied Up | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Freddymo Factor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alreadycelebrating | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Eighty Seven North | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mensa Member | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Party | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorable Rose | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fika | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love and Love | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Y’allcomenow | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiztinabella | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Libbys Innercircle | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Business Cycle | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Illudere | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allured | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Domain | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Muddy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Truth | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Massena | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Carthon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Briefs | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Collective Effort | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mango M | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elenzee | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Steelersfanforlife | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nutzforboltz | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Thief | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ides of Arch | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Saratoga Colonel | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | New Jersey John | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Risky Sour | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Long Gray Line | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Strong Side | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fixed Point | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Regrets | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | McErin | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outrageous Bet | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Clear | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brockmoninoff | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Espresso Caliente | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Anne’s Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Galway Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stay Good | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Saturdaynightfling | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lady Camille | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gotcha Gabin | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sardonyx | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Barrel of Destiny | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Missbigtimes | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Frosty Linz | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Crater Rim | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Seattle Frost | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Youth Gone Wild | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sophie N | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.