October 4, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bindlor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Dove Dynasty | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wiggins | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creepy the Crab | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vicar’s Chalice | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sunny Hansen | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kaz Country | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charity Show | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Valadier | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 2 | All Spun Up | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 3 | French’s Quest | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Disco Express | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Crazy Wild Bill | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Running for Ryan | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Patriotic Quest | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Bazooka Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Awesome Class | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Benevida | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soar From Shadows | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Decorating | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Weekend Delight | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dumtadumtadum | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Fling | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frankly J’ray | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goldmakesmesmile | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | We Hap Now | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zarski | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Brahms Romp | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flankenstein | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Young American | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Roman Warrior | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Here’s Paco | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Lucky Kick | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Chief Tarhe | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Poplar Avenue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stroll Smokin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | True Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Keeneway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Preachin’ George | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jammer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lion Lord | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skylander Boy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Great Adventurer | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Rose by Any Name | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Where You Was | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Forthegreatergood | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Native Flora | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Quickhatch | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Free to Trump | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Eightyeightmph | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Top Hat Warrior | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Top Hat Voyager | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kosher Kontract | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bro Your Killingme | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jefferson Rock | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Bull | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wheels in Motion | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | He’s Pretty Clever | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | To Be Or Not to Be | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crouchelli | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bay Bridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Daniel Le Deux | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love You Much | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beltway Bob | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Own Lane | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | No Knock Raid | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Somekindofmagician | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Bull Addiction | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Redeemed Gentleman | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Benevolent Prince | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Bridger | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maryland Pride | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elementary | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sparty | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizcreetly | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ego | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Microscale | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brusilov | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Telling Warrior | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hyperlapse (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Robbie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Glenn’s Caper | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Big Shack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smarter Than Us | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zaptuit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sofranko | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Patriot | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | We Made It | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | High Noon Lute | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Guthries Collar | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bobs Your Uncle | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jeremiah John | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jericho Marsh | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Look Within | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | What a Hoot | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Charismatic Blue | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.