October 3, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Black Bess | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Sober | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daymare | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Control | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmen Is My Name | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Mrs. G | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Vixen | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Your Silence | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Run for Peace | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Londonderry | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Queen Andher Court | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Moro | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pottahawk | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee Knight | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonnestrut | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Kelly | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fernando the Bull | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing With Zorro | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disputed Bid | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brews Toonie Toss | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Purity | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly Stormy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Sassy Ombre | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Quidi Vidi | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Mandate | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Girl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light My Path | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Enchanted Tale | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tomato Bisque | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unclaimedtreasure | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Mizzona | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Honeypotts | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Giovanna Ponti | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Bear Kitty | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Modus Operandi | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congeniality | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whispering Speaker | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lilly’s Goldie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Edisto Island | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Phil’s Glory | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Second Street | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Destiny | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Wood | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ransack | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Guitar George | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Oakton | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Telling You Twice | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jail Time | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kucherov | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’se Dubai | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parrsboro | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy B | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Sky | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamin of Jenny | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | White Sage | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Major Gordon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.