September 30, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Great Kahuna | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sent From Heaven | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Cheerful | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Another Shot | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clear for Action | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Bay | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Transfer Pricing | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ravinia | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Blues | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Tribes | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Biondetti’s Choice | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sahara Breeze | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunniva | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Win | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trapper’s Delight | 0.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mc Culley | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yallhaveaniceday | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Distinct Passion | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pick On Me | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oversteering | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steve’s Sonata | 0.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebellion’s Dream | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lassie’s Victor | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dontdropurcrop | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starresha | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Straightfromegbert | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’s Mulligan | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Fabulous | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fact Checking | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Summer | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Express | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Myzogamiss | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perlarana | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get’erdonebud | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lowi Vene | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courtly Manner | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock You | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrius | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jurojin | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Freak | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Black Storm | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dupes | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Point | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hampstead Heath | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atypical | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reallylikethisone | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dexter Road | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mind Magic | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World of Prospects | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twiceaslucky | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apatow | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Postman Pat | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lillz Not Crying | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paxos | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truth Serum | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Blaze | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crime Wave | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boomba Brad | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Classy ‘n Smart S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Niigon’s Legacy | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkles’ Girl | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Niigon’s Bay | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Queen | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trini Brewnette | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Paw | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Summer | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Argentium | 0.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Brew | 0.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kilkenny Prospect | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love of Mine | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English Classic | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Shot | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cape Nero | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Track D Gold | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slip Kid | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Brass Compass | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marten River | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fever | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Occasional View | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Spanish Express | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Rexton | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Lokinforpursemonee | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Marten Lake | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfection Cat | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rince Tapaigh | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsinthestars | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Larkwood | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hanalei Moon | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love to Learn | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liddyup | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moka Latte | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Close Image | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sothatsthewayitis | 0.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Snippy | 0.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glorious Entry | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Now Play Nice | 0.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.