September 30, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Sky Logan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Combat Zone | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Soul | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pointed | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Culpable | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bitter Ring Home | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | When Jesus Walked | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Ready | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Montmartre | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Camby | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aced | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dre Dan | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brioso | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Inshannity | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Devils Dance | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | It’sjustanillusion | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Enamored | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kalliniki | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Speedette | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Choi | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | El Tovar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vending Machine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stylistics United | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kochees | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Billy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | River Echo (GB) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Incensed | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allaboutmike | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puriano | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reign On (GB) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theycallhimthekid | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Up | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Temple Keys | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monydontspenitself | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Zenyatta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abel Tasman | 0.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Force (GER) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vale Dori (ARG) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shenandoah Queen | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemoona | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fool’s Paradise | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – John Henry Turf Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fashion Business (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Liam the Charmer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashleyluvssugar | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secretary At War | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ritzy A. P. | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Move | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cute Knows Cute | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amers | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Rosie | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Paynter | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Authority | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pulpitinthesky | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pocket Personality | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catch Fire | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sequentially | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Indian Trick | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Face of Victory | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Livin On Prayer | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Here Is Happy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gryffindor | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lauren’s Ladd | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | More Honor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blackout (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jan’s Reserve | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Placido | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oiseau de Guerre | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cats Blame | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ride to the Wire | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | David’s Memory | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flip the Coin Jan | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Facts Matter | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invasion Looming | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Bango | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diversionist | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.