September 30, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vocab | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Elevated | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Global Positioning | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prodigious | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Pulse | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Park Avenue Appeal | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baby Cat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Demand | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dudes Rockin Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Firey Diamond | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe’s Gift | 1.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Huachuca | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Headed for Heaven | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Thirsty | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brooklyn Gal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Abets Abet | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Katy Drama | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Billy’s Jump Start | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lendar | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Powder | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Special | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atina Salsa | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Really | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Incubator | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | National Honor | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outvoted | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barcode | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cutter Helm | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Placer | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Lie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Optic Way | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Cinderella | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Oceano Rosso | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swedenborg | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sulleys Boo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Up the Band | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Melodrama | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap Three Times | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iwasbornawinner | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’smyrisenstar | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Carmar | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Southern Kisses | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sophistication | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brio Man | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Crest | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Popizar | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southerncommission | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Down With the King | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malibu At Midnight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Black Jacket | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fast Runner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Monaco | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Every Step | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stoneville | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Klaatu | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6A | 3 | Rings of Jupiter | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unto Thou | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Burntwood | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hatteras Bound | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Guaranteed | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In Equality | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Black | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Strip | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Roma | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gourmet Delight | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Kent | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No More Music | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Charles | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | X Y Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Prep Pride | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Giant Rocks | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6B | 5 | One More Round | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Triangulate | 1.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pahall Revear | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8B | 7 | Ironbound | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zartax | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mario’s Revenge | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dead Broke | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buzz With Alex | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Blinding | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.