September 30, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Salt Hay Bay | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inflight | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starr Designer | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Star | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yours to Keep | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Margarita | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flirtation Walk | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Billy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Lake | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Back | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A True Gentleman | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensational Notion | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Son of Sanibel | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pink Notion | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Summer Smile | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kim’s Pet | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Panther | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Variance | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sun Valley Star | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shake D Moon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dog Soldier | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Align the Numbers | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greatbullsoffire | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clouded Judgement | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Abundance | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Bella Brown | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Global Nation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pudding | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crush It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | No Fly Zone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Dirtyfoot | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cousin Jimmy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hay Boy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Road to Oz | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Railmaster | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Brooks Robinson | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Mojo’s Louie Cat | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Magician | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kresses | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Zoraya | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Noise | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gingeresk | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forres Lily | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prettyasnewmoney | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Monkey Mind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tapanista | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sipping Champagne | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crater Rim | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Glam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Afleet Fairy | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lill Mave | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Rag Top | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Jackie G | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hey Mabel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Miss Aliphant | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Darter | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tale of E Dubai | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Team Tim | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iredell | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Rider | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adversary | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of All Media | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willie B Mine | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Buster’s Brother | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Arkadag | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Games | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ant Mo | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stevie’s Joy | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gorbachov | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tarahumar | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hot Girl | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bob | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Capucine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Star Flare | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Unlucky Hillary | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Expect a Kitten | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Lela’s Gift | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Believe in Angels | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Total Temper | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jokers Tothe Right | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Killer Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kid Jeter | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bound Bi Luck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rule Yourself | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Disco Express | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Falcon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Great Bend | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Slot Receiver | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sadler Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 6 | Chinquapin | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Smash Williams | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Catapult Jack | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Barin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Chocomount | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Storm | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Broad Expanse | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.