September 30, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Broadway Peggy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chasity | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gracias Adios | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All in Girl | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monja | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stage Review | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Maker | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Aventura | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Herecitykitty | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hechicera | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blues Songs | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiebaj | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whinnying Ways | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She Takes Heart | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Wedding | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worth Avenue | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Cousin Martha | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Much Tip | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onebrethatatime | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Razorback Lady | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Next Roll | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eila | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Aleone | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boranda | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Astray | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love and Lemons | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Three Days Grace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | With Me Without Me | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Mariu | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Durlyn | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mesa Madeira | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Olivia’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizbud She Wants | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spanish Exchange | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Steady Rock | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hotty Toddy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Legacy | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extra Salsa | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faithful Sue | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Search for Sammy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wishfully | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freudee | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Be Sure Lisa | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colorincolonel | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lapulga | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Loose Note | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Spike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Cool Mover | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | La Leyenda | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cap Gun | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Captain Bober | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enduring Arch | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Home Power | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Dr Dudley | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bagwell | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | German Alberto | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King Ready | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El Emanuel | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cable Channel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Still the One | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Indisputablylinked | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Luna | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Doctor D J | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | That Scoundrel | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whitecap Bay | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Field Officer | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nilo E C | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karamchand | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Future Treasure | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Persistent Run | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | To Dare | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quenane | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dizzy Gillespie | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chiseled | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Off Duty | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Richest Gifts | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spin Cycle | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brandt | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Eccentric Warfare | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Majesty | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Squadron | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wigwam Summer | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Treys Midnite Moon | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Darn That Parker | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Dynasty | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tide of the Desert | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Jr | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Indian School | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tempter | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Going to the Beach | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing the Roses | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cowtown Spirit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Coquivacoa | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Aca | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gemstone Linda | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clouded Appeal | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Tia Christina | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lexi’s Doll | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fame Galore | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Power Jak | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Italian Smile | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Star Mily | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Britesideoftheroad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Paynter Fest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Trixie’s Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nola Three Hundred | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | New Found Treasure | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sebastiana | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canadian Magic | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Friday | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lilroundtop | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Riviera | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Gusto | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tennessee Cotton | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Water | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Konstantinova | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Step Beat | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Colors | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.