September 29, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Quietly | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Water Polo | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atlantic Crossing | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Sidney | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr O’Prado | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lauderdale | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Clocker | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Ghost | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bay of Rum | 0.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Waubaushene | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Vie En Rose | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes It’s Dyna | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pictures of You | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Dressed | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wuk Up Queen | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mercury Rising | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distinct Signature | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Key Red | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wolverina’s Willa | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marsantropist | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flamenco Dancer | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thalias Fire | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patmos | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Adjoured | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Court Central | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Tallievision | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Pineapple | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Bow | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Under Lock and Key | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Club Eh | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shez a Ten I Know | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molinaro Deputy | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zlatica | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Retreat | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hush Buffy | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bid’s Kid | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holidejavu | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spring Forward | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dubhe | 0.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Igotyurgrasshopper | 0.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | War Factory | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courtly Manner | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Wise Treaty | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holysnapeneyeballs | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bracket Creep | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Leo From Heaven | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conqueror Galactus (IRE) | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Hey Howie | 0.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Where’s Anthony | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Dot’s Vision | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rockbarton | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alacritous | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Whisper | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Lomond | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Shanty | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Gump | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ontario Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Moon | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zestina | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Line of Vision | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Safe to Say | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Garden | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlet Flutter | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hollow Point | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Sight | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’s Ben | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock n’ Candy | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellas My Love | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Victor | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Man | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Siding Spring | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Springhouse | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Singandcryindubai | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Away | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eminent Force | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Spear | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Little Man | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Wally | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Critic | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Colton’s Corner | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wedgewood | 0.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bella Figura | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conquer the Sky | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Fern | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Danseuse | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Got Friends | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Forester | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Unseen Angels | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Patch | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bear Kitty | 0.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Follow My Lead | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Phantom | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Matthew’s Ridge | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Lapochka | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Jimmie | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Split My Pants | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Tap the Mojo | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blu Without You | 0.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Get the Facts | 0.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 8 | It’s Fate | 0.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Viewfinder | 0.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 14 | Kitten’s Boy | 0.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 13 | Deep Freeze | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 12 | Flight Deck | 0.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Trust in Silver | 0.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Pipers Warrior | 0.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.