September 29, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Comical Ghost | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Improbable | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Magician | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tut | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stretford End | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shining Through | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Cheddar | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forest Chatter | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Jackson | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Rogue | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | From the Distance | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Wine and Dine | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minoso | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | North County Guy | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schulace | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoss Cartwright | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dynamic Duo | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Offshore Affair | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mobou | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its Five Somewhere | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Haircut | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nil Phet | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fig | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Salute | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mulzoff | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alleva | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omaha Beach | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flying Scotsman | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neptune’s Storm | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knight’s Cross | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power Player | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lingua Franca | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dyf | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Box On | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Behavior | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speakerofthehouse | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elwood J | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | R Cha Cha | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Ginger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Fire to the Wire | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spokane Eagle | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Short of Ez | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Will Tell | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twirling Tiger | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – American Pharoah S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Game Winner | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunmetal Gray | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rowayton | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jefe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sigalert | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Exotic Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hard Fought | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tartini | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icy Street | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Comma Sister | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noivo (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalei | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fritz Johansen | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pioneer Lad | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impetu | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kidmon | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Ridge | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red King | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Be It | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Flatterme | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dulce Ride | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Kitty | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zusha | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Descendent | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Tigress | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demigoddess | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer’s Indy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kindred | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Chandelier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mother Mother | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bellafina | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Der Lu | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brill | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Del Mar May | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vibrance | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Rodeo Drive S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cambodia | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vasilika | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sophie P (GB) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paved | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Blossom (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amboseli | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tisbutadream (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Awesome Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Accelerate | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Coast | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Attraction | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Lieutenant | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isotherm | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shades of Victory | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Unzip Me S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Media Tone | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chatty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ms Bad Behavior | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Negrita | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Out of The Flames (GB) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steph Being Steph | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Travieza | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spiced Perfection | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | True Royalty | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suspicious Spouse | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pursuing The Dream (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sappho (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | May Girl (GB) | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.