September 29, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | My Rules | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cleave | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Clue | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Letters | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Erre Erre | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nonno Nino | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Schweets | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Angelino | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salute and Serve | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circle Away | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Omened By | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Il Biondo | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Stifler | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Lover | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Wildcat Heir S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Jordan | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Cash | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Loaded | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weisser | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Drama | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dunk | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fend for Yourself | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine Smiles | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapete Claire | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Belinda | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jenna Dawn | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patientexchange | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get Over It | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | White Beauty | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vino de Pago | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Hollywood Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gator Fifty Two | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Jackson | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nacho Papa | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midtown Rose | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bulletin | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rayo My King | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sidney’s Charisma | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Runs North | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Combination | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jamaican | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zenden | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Connolly Station | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Arrivederla | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Returnthestar | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Edgar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Country Singer | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gold Ducat | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Armed Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bermejo (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Timmy M. | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seanow | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louder Than Bombs | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mozo Bello | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Steady Earner | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stirling Drive | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chinomado | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tangible | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soldat War | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | The Money Train | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jaiden’s Best | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strong Composition | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Indian Scout | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Perfect Tay | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good and Proper | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Points | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Solve | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamy Martini | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Francesco Appeal | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bridles Holiday | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Johnny | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Our Dear Peggy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Lovely Luvy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Samoa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bimini | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Bit Special (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dangerous Curves | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream On Jilly | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yako | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Unbridled Cat | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rosedale | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Much War | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snowzilla | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Tina | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Itsgottabemyway | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hi Hi Holly | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Little Doo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lucky Little Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Speed Bump | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dana Grace | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Bride | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Incredible Miss | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Rainbow | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Busy Signal | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eva’s Gift | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paula Andrea | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Avenida Manana | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosepath | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tizzire | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Platinumcents | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talkback | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | West Horizen | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mr. Steele S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Bachelor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Durocher | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Galleon Mast | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kroy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One of a Kind | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncle B | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salute the Colonel | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archer Road | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Swagger Jagger | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Musical Heart | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cookie Dough | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Select Friday | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Nala | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Prerogative | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Crews | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jessica | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing Brooke | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myrrh | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Time Proud | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Hills | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perspire | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Starship Madonna | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Begin | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Monroe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vendita | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Susie Bee | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lipstick City | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King’s Ghost | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Sweat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Unbridled Courage | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lafta | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Josdesanimaux | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weekend Mischief | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Spanish Harlem | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Story | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prado Vision | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Garter and Tie | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Defined | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Firecracker | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fully Loaded | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Embers | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First and Three | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota’s Dude | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gump | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elgin Escape | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homeboy | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Organic Jenny | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gran Greyfrost | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Future Treasure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Poitier | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | San Diego Slugger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Still the One | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fourth Design | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Bay | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Force Five | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bucephalus | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nomad | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miamero | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Pronto | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Step Slew | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Luna | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rising Storm | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Adorable | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Star Recruit | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.