September 28, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Opeongo | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gemini | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dirty Girl | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Megalin Candy | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashinthepants | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jupiter’s Eagle | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oculist | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shaunessy | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lillie’s Answer | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkle Sammy | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sam’s Cross | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea My Moves | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crazy About Jazz | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adopted Family | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corey’s Best | 0.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Enchanted Tale | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hatch Gate | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Whatta Girl | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lost Point | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Afleet Connection | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zephan | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Pulpit | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Parade | 0.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Knight | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Home Brew | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just for Rose | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fred’s Champ | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Macho Bourbon | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Spell | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Glorafly Me | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Stormy Vision | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Red Rita | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | One Moon | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Artie Deco | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 6 | Post to Post | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 7 | Orbortunistic | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Echo Bay | 0.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 8 | Lyla D | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | O’Kram | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Rare Appeal | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Dynamite Kid | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Leopard Cat | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Cry Bao | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Ami | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Track That Echo | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Red Chill | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Slam | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Giant Mine | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Top Hat Trick | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Affair | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Take the Gold | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Nova | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonny’s Dream | 0.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Madam | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peut Etre | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost Dance | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hastalavistababy | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Soul Planet | 0.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Queen Andher Court | 0.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aunt Tillie | 0.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Trickeration | 0.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dee Dee’s Angel | 0.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soldier in Pink | 0.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Call to Service | 0.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Court Return | 0.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Krpan | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five More Minutes | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Humbug | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bet Alpha | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donnie Brasco | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eboracum | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Had to Laugh | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laser Light | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Truly Elite | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jordans Way | 0.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Inventing Blame | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Ticket | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jammin Still | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | John Paul Jones | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Speed | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Uncle Drew | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashymeister | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cauldron | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Change At the Top | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madsam | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Plan | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of Caledon | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glencairn | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Bay | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Eliminatr | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greenfield | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Dreams | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Court Battle | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coleyville | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Place the Blame | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walk Thru Jasper | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beth’s Aurora | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Typically | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Me Sweet | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Create an Edge | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Corker | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Finder | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Auntie Katherine | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Floating Rate | 0.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Light It Up | 0.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.