September 28, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Point Guard | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Original Intent | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honeymoonz Over | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jersey’s Heat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glorious Crown | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Alex | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ashley’s Big Guy | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Earnednevergiven | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Admiral | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoover Tower | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Am the Danger | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Cotton | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Verse | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getaloadofthis | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molaf | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fleetwood | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salutelute | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Discatsonthesquare | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbie Lincoln | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empress of Lov | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tee Em Eye | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Li’l Grazen | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sappho (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Miraculously | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Movie Moment | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hot Autumn | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Streak of Luck | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Don’t Blame Judy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mongolian Window | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tinabud | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sea Sensation | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Nonna Gianna (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Class | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mayan Warrior | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mo Dinero | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | After You | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agronomo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alvaaro | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baja Warrior | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Eddie D S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Liberal | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Tsunami | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Touching Rainbows | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cistron | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Law Abidin Citizen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caribou Club | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kenjisstorm | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He Will | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threefiveindia | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Istanbul | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dueling | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent McCool | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Extra Hope | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Station | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Class | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yak | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lead Star | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sequentially | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hoss Cartwright | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Kershaw | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Captivate | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Buckys Pick | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blame Joe | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Morning | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | It Makes Sense | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Extreme Heat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Buck Duane | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duke of Fallbrook | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Exes N Ohs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crackling Bread | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Untouched Elegance | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tandalicious | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turing Machine | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Token Vow | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Good | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Congrats | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Social Etiquette | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Knickers | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Midnight Affair | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unusual Gold | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Wild | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.