September 28, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mahabodhi Tree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Buzz | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Letthemooseloose | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’sgotthebeat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sheplaysthefield | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gia Michael | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moment of Triumph | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Somthingscandalous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dig Deeper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stylishly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Merger Arbitrage | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Asticou Trail | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | French Empire | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Anne Dupree | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Halsey | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sir Ballantine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Borsa Vento | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Thought | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Guide | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vincento | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Battle Midway | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Old Upstart | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chamber | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepshercool | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Sheila | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Livi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom’s Queen | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Quality | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Copperline | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dynamite Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dreamers and Me | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Barrel of Destiny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Adorina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Mrs. Orb | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Mama Mary | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Overtime Olivia | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carrera Cat | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Zappem | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Causin’ Trouble | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | That’s Smart | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Promise Me Roses | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Filly Joel | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fangirl | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Proximity Bias | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blonde Moment | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Emmzy | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Private Beach | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Indexation | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Love | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Bliss | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | War Cabinet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Semper Sententiae | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Paname (FR) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Goodbye Brockley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Silver Shaker | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Pivotal Connection (GB) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Matty’s Magnum | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cruisewithbrandon | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | O Shea Can U See | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stoney Bennett | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dezzer | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Horoscope | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | What a Catch | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sword Fighter | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heavy Meddle | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Irish | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Benevolence | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gosilently | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Colonel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Elenzee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Long Night | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Dow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Three Perfections | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pocket Player | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 4 | Bobby G | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 7 | Long Gray Line | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Spring On Curlin | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Spectacular Plum | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Four Knights | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Stormy Justin | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Hoard | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Jegos Fire | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.