September 27, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sum Roar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Awesomendensome | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Treatherlikestar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Cordele | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fallen Leaf | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Greatness | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Linda Nin | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taylor’s in Orbit | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gran Belleza | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Gran Bonita Chica | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Madelyn’s Dancer | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Si Te Vas | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Starof Distinction | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | My Mini Queen | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Field Trip | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Kisses | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lost for Words | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wellwest | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asked and Answered | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Wildcat | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Roc | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Saman | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monday Pirate | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Visions of You | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Denver | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Value | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Rose | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beechwood | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swiss Alps | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nicarra (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Peace Accord | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Colin a Winner | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fightinirishtabit | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Quite Ready | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tropical Cognac | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toupha | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hustle N Heart | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Journey | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Super Lucky | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Have Hope | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr Sheen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Puertorican Style | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Master Rory | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pokerist | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Envy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shim | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gregory Sun | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forecasting | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bogulator | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prospectively | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Nicole | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Karenina | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Back Curly | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Rose | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonels Daughter | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rose M. | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | White as Cotton | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Dub | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mantaray Island | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bodebabe | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Senescal | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Splash | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Boyfriend | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Pepper | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somethinstappin | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goldenlion | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Pistol | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mo’s Ginny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cowgirl Tough | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Tribbles | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Direction Song | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snirvana (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nile Rising | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hogans Holiday | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Dynasty | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Money Factor | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiteheelgirl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dumaine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Maddy’s Last Dance | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Katara Pass | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vegas Tycoon | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Logsdon | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hollywood Overdogs | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | R Mercedes Boy | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Twisted Licorice | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Escorpion Malvado | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Valiant Appeal | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tippecanoe | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reggae Pirate | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.