September 26, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Might Be | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Aubrey | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause We Are Loyal | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spring Drama | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crater Rim | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Reconsider It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Hit a Provisional | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Grand Banks | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Super Mama | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unparalleled | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Low Is Laine | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blissful Breeze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Awsum Roar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Blue Atlas | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Salty Smile | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Esther the Queen | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Tiz a Kitten | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | China Rider | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flying Pleasantly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Golden Vale | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jordy’s Ready | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brooklyn Gerty | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lip Sync | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Astrology Hill | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run From Theheat | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Queens Jules | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fuel the Bern | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Camp Courage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rappel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bon Raison | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mohican | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Dooley | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Alive | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Top of the Page | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | The Red Dude | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bitumen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rockford | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Imperatore | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nigel’s Destiny | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rogue Nation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Andronikos | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | All Clear | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Phone Funky Munky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flat Bill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Take It to Scale | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Coltandmississippi | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Felix in Fabula | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Malibu Strings | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Double Deep | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bid You Adieu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Two Nancy’s | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beaux Arts | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Something Joyful | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wantagh Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Southern Gal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Summer Squeeze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Merlins Muse | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Dreams | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 5 | She’s Delightful | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 4 | Carlisle Belle | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Forever Daisy | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiffanys Freud | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s New Moon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metaphorical | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gravitating | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Larry | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somebody | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Venerable Bede | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Garsoon | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seediskid | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.