September 25, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Shiitake |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Shotmaster |
1.60 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Extrasexymazzerati |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Eastern Front |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mr. Skittles |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Kion |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Proudmiamicitizen |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Girl Powder |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Lilbitofjam |
1.40 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Trousseau |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frequently |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
La Nena de Papa |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
R Lucky Charm |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lucky Meeting |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
She’s Had Enough |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
River Miss |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Enchantabull |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Theorem |
0.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Point Lockout |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Imperial Lady |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Berberslilbriebrie |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Step N Out |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Mymomsablond |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Desirous |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Deserted |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Talia Doll |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
True Upgrade |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Silver Witch |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Gotta Be Strong |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Strega Nonna |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Symphony of Love |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hay Buck |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Storm Babe |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
His Reins of Fire |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Lookingforanewhome |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Ask Chuck |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Phone My Posse |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Southerncommission |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Mr. Louis |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
5 |
Master Macduff |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cottonall |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
6 |
Only the Truth |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
7 |
We Can Dance |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
4 |
Alabandus |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
El Tocayo |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11A |
11 |
Storm Factor |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Strawberry Red |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9A |
9 |
The Want of a Nail |
1.40 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amblin Man |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnightcharly |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cardcounter |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunshine Sperry |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cape May Ferry |
6.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Averyon |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smart Royal T |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kook’s Kat |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Yellow Chick |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Discreet Sister |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tara’s Talent |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Lady Banba |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dancingthehnydaway |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Gambit’s Girl |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dreamer’s Moon |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Afleet Destiny |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Catburt |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Capt. Grider |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Matter of Factor |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Circuit Judge |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Disruptor |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chasing My Halo |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Arrecife |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tempestuous Angel |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Midnight Games |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Double the Cheers |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Helloitsme |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4A |
3 |
Draxhall Woods |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Honorable Service |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hammers Vision |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9A |
8 |
King Dublin |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Asphalt Paving |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Chelios |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Jack O Liam |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cee Maxine |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Racheybullbah |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love That Chick |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grand Blue Harbor |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Upandcoming |
1.40 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gun Powder Red |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saturdays Game |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Power Booked |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carole’s Rainbow |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Not in the Mood |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rewrite the Rules |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Greta Greta Boo |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.