September 23, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Seas Romance | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whileyousleeping | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fabulist | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Court Time | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petite Amie | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regiftable | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Have Feelings | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glamour Lady | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jarri | 0.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Differential | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toxicologist | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Rebel | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canmore | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Watchman | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Silver | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant Forest | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory L. | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charge Ahead | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Combative | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | D Magician | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Garrison’s Charge | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Crawl From the Bar | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Brutus | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Stash the Cash | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | The Boss Factor | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Solidify | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Oh Danny Bear | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gold Sting | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Timing | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edge of the Nile | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wolf’s Cry | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earthquakedirector | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Bayi | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apatow | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Precious Badge | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trebek | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fasinet’splay | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Macho T | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vaughan | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin At Matteo | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Downy Boy | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Primary Surplus | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizuchi | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yasou Cousin Nick | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harlem’s Saint | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fahrenheit | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Courting a Kiss | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Bull Page S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sandretti | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Two | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Souper Hot | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | News Flash | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon Stritta | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krpan | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Stolen Identity | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Bens Last Call | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Retreat | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Street Chopper | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Makemineamanhattan | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Forces | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbounded Spirit | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Other Breeze | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Determinant | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Seattle Affair | 0.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ginger Sky | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Clocker | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sexy Business | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Ringo Classic | 0.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Awesome Joey | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Prideofdistinction | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alnilah | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yangtze Delta | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Without a Doubt | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Take the Cake | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Killag Katie | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glamanation | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Street | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boogie With Me | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldrush Glory | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Durham Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Melmich | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Are You Kidding Me | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avie’s Mesa | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Florida Won | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Lookin for Eight | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kasuga | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Paint | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jennifer Lynnette | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Claire | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delamar | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Sidney | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Corps de Ballet | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Savvy | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D’s Double Eagle | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hythe | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Lou | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fiery Bear | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Canuck | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanty Town | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awsome Moi | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hoochiecoochie Sam | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diamonds and Roses | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steve’s Sonata | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wardo | 0.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Martinkelly | 0.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fine Grit | 0.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.