September 22, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Stratosphera |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Baltimore Babe |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Princess Donna |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Princess Killmain |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Reiltin Oir |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Astrea |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whenallelsefails |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Starlet Lady |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starship Yenta |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oddseverinurfavor |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lunetta |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Happy Lantern |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Moon Artist |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pedir La Luna |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Corinthian Sho Grl |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Buddha Kai |
30.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Summer Smile |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coqueta |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rosuri |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Caterina One |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nana’s Shoes |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sous Chef |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Break Dancin |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Broadway Trouper |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Took Over |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lacrostix |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Polar Jet |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Jareth |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Smile for Eternity |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tempt Me Twice |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Censure |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Oldies But Goodies |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
8 |
My Brothersledge |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dashing Lou |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
9 |
Happy Indeed |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Laurel Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Thatwouldbegrand |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Lippi Lorenzo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Crypto Currency |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Mount Travers |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
11 |
Regally Irish |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Veterans Beach |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
7 |
Alwaysmining |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
8 |
Market Bubble |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
13 |
9 |
Absolved |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
14 |
10 |
Order and Law |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Scrap Copper |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
5 |
Mooji Moo Jr. |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
6 |
Stole E |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
4 |
Yowza Yowza Yowza |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
1 |
Partisan Divide |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Secret Or Tell |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Top Czar |
0.20 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Pro Riot |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Relentless Lion |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4A |
4 |
Wise Story |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6A |
5 |
Goldcoltwarrior |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pleasant Lee |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
What About Shorty |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – All Along S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Broken Bridle |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Ready to Confess |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Stormy Victoria (FR) |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
My Impression |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lift Up |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Celestial Insight |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mythical Mission |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Esquisse (GB) |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Valedictorian |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Quick Witted |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Not Taken |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
8 |
So Innocent |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
12 |
11 |
Sophia Is an Angel |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Laurel Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Sheikh of Sheikhs |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Maniacal |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Triple Burner |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Dubini |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Snowday (FR) |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tombelaine |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Class and Cash |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Colonel Sharp |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spring to the Sky |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oak Bluffs |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fielder |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Talk Show Man |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Clever Triad |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Axtell |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Celebration (GB) |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Laurel Turf Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hello Don Julio |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Renown (GB) |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Final Copy |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scuba |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Postulation |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tizzarunner |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vintage Matters |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barney Rebel (IRE) |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Not in Charge |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Decisive Triumph |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cooptado (ARG) |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Dare to Be |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Goldwood |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Touch of Bling |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Jumby Bay |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Contributing |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Not in Jeopardy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Smiling Causeway |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
11 |
10 |
Rocky Policy |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Always Thinking |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Compelled |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Fire Key |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Fear No Evil |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Unaquoi |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Misericordia (GB) |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Daylight Ahead |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
4 |
Eye On Berlin |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Crow |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Switzerland |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always Sunshine |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lewisfield |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
The Man |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweetontheladies |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Laki |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Colonel Sharp |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Arthur’s Hope |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Selima S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Questionoftheday |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Elsa |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Andarta |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Helen |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Surge of Pride |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shoobiedoobydoo |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Margie Is Livid |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Monkeys Uncle |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Little Miss Raelyn |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just a Whim |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Creedibility |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Jazzy J |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Top Hat Hustle |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Cool Man Cletus |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Three Phase |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sunman |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mouth of the South |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eliav |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bro Your Killingme |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rein Supreme |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Princess Georgia |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Moxie |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lonely Drifter |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Gfour |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Belle ‘n Tonic |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Marlee’s Magic |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ridgemont High |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.