September 22, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tempter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Squadron | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Grand Jr | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flowmotion | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Set Me Up | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Changing Leads | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zitman | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Cruise Control | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yo No Se | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arpinella | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Cal | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Joker | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mass Approval | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Night Rythm | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Street | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Sarge | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sound of the Tap | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nephew Howard D | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pair Pair Tie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brookside | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chase Your Dreams | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | War Agent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dynamic Dancer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Armonico | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gio Son | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Whistle Player | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Elogio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | War Pipe | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kid Kantharos | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crest of Eden | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Home Jerome | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Davids Boy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gossamer | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Judge Hudson | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Terquito | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Tequila | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Didnt Do It | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trev | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Juancho | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For the Gipper | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frenchmen Street | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Step | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bondetti | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J J Junior | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Shalis | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Cleave | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Il Biondo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dreamin of d’Wild | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mosca | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leroi’s Gem | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shidoshi | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salute and Serve | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of Greatness | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Leader | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steel Beach | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Nel | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Cristian | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ed’s Dog | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Mover | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pegasall | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beta Max | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yesus Star | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nation U S A | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Mischief | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Florida Line | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Haybub | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rigo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Thunder | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Light Breeze | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | I’mawreckingball | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swami Genius | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Little Todd | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Crosswind Katie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dance Till Dawn | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wiwi Celebration | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Sassy’s Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Aloha Kai | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Barrister | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Now It’s Nine | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quickandwildcoco | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapits Last Dance | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feature Creature | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fairfield | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Tas Time | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Sweet Shangai | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alaula | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Devilish Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lovingrdsimmar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Debdurite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Wild Wigglin Jack | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Yes Siree | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jacks a Warrior | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Straightaway May | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Burton | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Little Shackleford | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Our Boss | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Elastico | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Motion’s First | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tapa Liath | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Little Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ortiga (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sober On Sunday | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madison Blues | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rain in Spain | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Gala | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vinyardnina | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Square to Spare | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lapantalones Fance | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Safe Kitten | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Siorno | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Land | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Tino | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torch Bearer | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Octopythius | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ours Dream Fly | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stay in Cruise | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Tap and Tell | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man Upstairs | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joe Cain | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Az Ice | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | America’s Simmard | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Bear’s Den S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Over Sensual | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Watschen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gemonteer | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Spring | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Drama | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Holiday | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cometin | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Renaisance Frolic | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye of a Jedi | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Possible | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Notsosubtle | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Paddy | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sky Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Fairy Goddess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Two Step Beat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | One Wild Chic | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Dam Locks | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Valerie First | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Country Girl Shirl | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mancora | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sprinkled | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Miss Lady Vargas | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Discrimanation | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Golden Tiara | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Klaudias Warrior | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.