September 19, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spring Drama | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hit a Provisional | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Super Mama | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Crater Rim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Reconsider It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Mohanie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Sardonyx | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Youmakemeblush | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Union Patriot | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Uconnmarsh | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southeast | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flatexcel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full of Hope | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moses Supposes | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Big Or Go Home | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carmine’s Honor | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shipsandgoods | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barahin | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Rule | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Morning | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knight Disruptor | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wisdom an War | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our American Star | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Southern Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Theaterintheround | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cumbria | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Ascender | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Codrington | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Unbridledadventure | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11A | 5 | Myhartblongstodady | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Puffery | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Danielle’s Pride | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Cha Cha Heels | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Steam Engine | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strive for a Cure | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grammi Dance | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettor Bank On It | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stop Me If You Can | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Guy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cozzy’s Posse | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nice Bank | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Six Brothers | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Corot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pagliacci | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | New York Song | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Bourbon Currency | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Killybegs Captain | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Breez | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Thunder’s Honor | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wicked Macho | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Queens Jules | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Adonis Creed | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fuel the Bern | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hills Pond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rappel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mohican | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Dooley | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Potomac | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Ride On Faith | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River of Dreams | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Baseline | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Japonski | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Joseph A. Gimma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | More Mischief | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Zip | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maiden Beauty | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party Like Grandma | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Trouble | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ma Meatloaf | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cartwheelin Lulu | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chutzpah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wild With Style | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Tequila Sunday | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Zecha | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | That’snothername | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | One Cool Kitten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Galway Girl | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.