September 17, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hirschbein | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberal Spin | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferdinandthemouse | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hangry | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bannon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Edisto Bay | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Philjangle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Very Charming | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Li’l Miss Trouble | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doxa | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Honey Money | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rachaels Way | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Editora | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Petipa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Important | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Gray | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beatubyachubinose | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andrea’s Hope | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Only One Wish | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Da’blues Dancer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lethal Lil Lady | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forest Blue | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ripe | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light’s Gone Wild | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Front | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seve | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Awesome | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sventastic | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Zy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Keoni | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Thank You So Much | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Cape | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Andouille | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Second Encore | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hero of Fire | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ambition Mission | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Recliner | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | On Shore Leave | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mister Obvious | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’smineiloveher | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Earned the Shot | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whimsical Delight | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flashy Moment | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ballerina Kitten | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buy for Less | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Angel | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giolilmiss | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sunshineinmypocket | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Benefactor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smarty Mr D | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Merry’s Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Here’s a Jetpack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Combat Controller | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Sailor | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Make My Saturday | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | One Lucky Step | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Great Adventurer | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Burford | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Willie B Mine | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Flower Punch | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Haveaniceweekend | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Clare’s Dowery | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Terp | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Rose | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Patriotic Endeavor | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zarcat | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | BIG CHAY | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | PRINCE WILLIAM AA | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | CAPTAIN BUSH | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | CHNDAKASEXPRESS | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | FORTAISSA | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | BIG BEN AA | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | RB WICKED RICH | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | MIZZDORA | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.