Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 17, 2018

September 17, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hirschbein 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Liberal Spin 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ferdinandthemouse 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hangry 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bannon 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Edisto Bay 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Philjangle 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Very Charming 1.60 2.4 5-1
4 3 Li’l Miss Trouble 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Doxa 12.00 4 8-1
7 6 No Honey Money 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Rachaels Way 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Editora 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Petipa 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Important 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Miss Gray 1.60 3.3 6-1
3 3 Beatubyachubinose 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Andrea’s Hope 15.00 4 8-1
8 7 Only One Wish 2.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Da’blues Dancer 15.00 5 9-1
5 4 Lethal Lil Lady 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forest Blue 1.80 2.4 5-1
3 3 Ripe 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Light’s Gone Wild 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 More Front 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Seve 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Big Awesome 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Sventastic 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 11 Zy 15.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Keoni 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Thank You So Much 1.40 2.7 5-1
5 4 Secret Cape 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Andouille 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Second Encore 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Hero of Fire 3.50 4.6 9-1
9 8 Ambition Mission 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 5 Recliner 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 On Shore Leave 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Mister Obvious 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’smineiloveher 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Earned the Shot 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Whimsical Delight 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Flashy Moment 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Ballerina Kitten 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Buy for Less 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Saratoga Angel 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Giolilmiss 12.00 5 9-1
9 8 Sunshineinmypocket 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Benefactor 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Smarty Mr D 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Merry’s Honor 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Here’s a Jetpack 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Combat Controller 15.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Shoe Loves Shoe 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 American Sailor 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 4 Make My Saturday 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 One Lucky Step 10.00 3.8 7-1
13 8 Great Adventurer 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 6 Burford 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 5 Willie B Mine 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 7 Flower Punch 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Haveaniceweekend 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Clare’s Dowery 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lady Terp 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Secret Rose 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Patriotic Endeavor 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Zarcat 8.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 BIG CHAY 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 PRINCE WILLIAM AA 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 CAPTAIN BUSH 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 FORTAISSA 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 BIG BEN AA 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 RB WICKED RICH 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 MIZZDORA 15.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.