September 16, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ma Bella |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Vegas Strong Baby |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Staythirstymyamigo |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Palm d’Oro |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Easy Peasy |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Derby Lady |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
D D’s Lute |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eskenforadrink |
1.20 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen Dreamer |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Molly Got Even |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charming Alexis |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cali Rocks |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hackleton |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reverend Al |
1.80 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rough Passage |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Leap |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Come On Spanky |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chin Tu |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Foxy Fresh |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cioppino Pasadino |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Peaked |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Back Beauty |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lisa Largo |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yolanda’s Stone |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Boy Howdy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Eighty Three |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hitters Park |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Treasure Hunter |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tavasco Road |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Son of War |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
St. Joe Bay |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Captain Scotty |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aristocratic |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Right Hand Man |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hardcore Troubador |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Autism Is Here |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Lilly |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Majestic Design |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bridal Arch |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arrowsphere |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
She Began Again |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiz Deliteful |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tenthousandreasons |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cee Sam’s Girl |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
India Mantuana |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Giant Influence |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Dabster |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Colonist |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ya Gotta Wanna |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Little Scotty |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twentytwentyvision |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Divisor |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Engram |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tuscany Beauty |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Christy Jackson |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess Areni |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Part of My Heart |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lovely Linda |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smart Rachel |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Krishna |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coco Smooches |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.