September 16, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ma Bella 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Vegas Strong Baby 1.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Staythirstymyamigo 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Palm d’Oro 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Easy Peasy 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Derby Lady 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 D D’s Lute 1.40 2.2 4-1
5 5 Eskenforadrink 1.20 2.8 5-1
2 2 Queen Dreamer 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Molly Got Even 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Charming Alexis 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cali Rocks 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hackleton 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Reverend Al 1.80 2.9 5-1
6 6 Rough Passage 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Awesome Leap 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Come On Spanky 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Chin Tu 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Foxy Fresh 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Cioppino Pasadino 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Peaked 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Back Beauty 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lisa Largo 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Yolanda’s Stone 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boy Howdy 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Eighty Three 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Hitters Park 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Treasure Hunter 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tavasco Road 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Son of War 8.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 St. Joe Bay 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Captain Scotty 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Aristocratic 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Right Hand Man 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Hardcore Troubador 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Autism Is Here 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Midnight Lilly 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Majestic Design 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bridal Arch 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Arrowsphere 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 She Began Again 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Tiz Deliteful 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Tenthousandreasons 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Cee Sam’s Girl 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 India Mantuana 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Giant Influence 0.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Dabster 2.50 2.9 6-1
8 6 Colonist 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Ya Gotta Wanna 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Little Scotty 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Twentytwentyvision 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Divisor 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Engram 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tuscany Beauty 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Christy Jackson 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Princess Areni 3.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Part of My Heart 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lovely Linda 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Smart Rachel 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Lady Krishna 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Coco Smooches 20.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.