September 16, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dudacity | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Berning Repent | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Dreaming | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Motherwell | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Country Strong | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mortal Storm | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lloydly | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Pichu | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunshine Joy | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vida Tropical | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ever So d’Wild | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sold On Salsa | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Danger | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beach Girl | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Enigmatica | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feisty Embrace | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Duper Girl | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Money Purse | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Is That Magic | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracias Adios | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Indy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapete Claire | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Overdriven | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pixie’s Warrior | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monja | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Tamiami H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Field Trip | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Friend Flavin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pay Any Price | 0.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brandy’s Girl | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tropicat | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Focus On Me | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phantom Ro | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonwalker | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenacity Zip | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Ciclon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | W W Concerto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Browns Gap | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Scout | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Powerline | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Diamond Square | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gran Chief | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shacklefords Storm | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dizzy Gillespie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Spin Cycle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Son of Oahu | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Chelsey | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Code | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Big (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Modern Tale | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Could Be | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unexplained | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seuss | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unikat | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Luis Two Guns | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sunrise Boulevard | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Accountant Q | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toss | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Tea Jack | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dr Harlan | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Early Deligh | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | German Alberto | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Super Duper Visor | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | The Dawn of Solo | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Don Fager | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sol Dat Sugar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Outrank | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Barbados Kitten | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Heiress | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Donut | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cosita Rica | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Day | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salsa Rita | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy River | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Concertos Appeal | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Delicious Pursuit | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | More Illusions | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spintalk | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artist | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Miami | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Game Day Drama | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sub Factum | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rey Astray | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spettacoli (ARG) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Myfrancesca | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vow to Recover | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Conquesthardcherry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Precocious Miss | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lady Nina | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Britesideoftheroad | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wiwi Celebration | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classy Lynn | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cleopatty | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trixie’s Time | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Spiced Rum Punch | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | To Fight | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Distinction | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flora Fantasy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Knoll | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Juliet | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heiressall | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil B Quick | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton Tooyah | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gran Aventura | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Tide | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Not Nice | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sierra Love | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaylie’s Girl | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Peggy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brenda’s G L P | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Get Over It | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiebaj | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Casimira | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hechicera | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cache Galaxea | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vic | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.