September 15, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shanghai Check |
0.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Carlbrook Kid |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shock Treatment |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Billyjeansmyboy |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hay Boy |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Infuriated |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Vinnie |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Artistic Drifter |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vegas Strip |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Jimmy |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gourmet Delight |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
You’re No Saint |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Only You |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dimension |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Scarfree |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Royalaspen |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aussie Mist |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Not Leaving |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Nikki’s Bad |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Chessen |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Offlee Optimistic |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Wildcatpleasures |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Springers Point |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Kraken Glacken |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Doddsprivatelabel |
1.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Noble Kent |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
3 |
Master Yank |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
The Morning Guys |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2X |
9 |
Corsario |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
6 |
Informality |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Flashonforty |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Gran Fortress |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
3 |
Extrasexymazzerati |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1A |
8 |
Insider |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Southern Kisses |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tommy’s Top Cat |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
1 |
Kion |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
9 |
Imvros Pride |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Curtis |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Klaatu |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bird of Trey |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Prize Fight |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Quality Asset |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Stoneville |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Your Secret’s Safe |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Controlled Fury |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Guaranteed |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
6 |
Winter’s Gift |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Abets Abet |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Mother Ginger |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Expressly |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Viva Forever |
1.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lil Miss Hotshot |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Case Dismissed |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Ignite |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Roamin Rachael S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Squan’s Kingdom |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
7 |
Bertranda |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
She’s Stunning |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jessica Krupnick |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Liz’s Cable Girl |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1A |
5 |
La Key |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Risque’s Diamond |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yorkiepoo Princess |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
11 |
Saratoga Tommy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
7 |
Mischief Night |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Jo Sho |
1.40 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
4 |
Kowboy Kenny |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
C J’s Poet |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Soul Revival |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Match the Pot |
10.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fairly Bold |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
De Punta a Punta |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
I’m Truly Blessed |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fist of Thor |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
10 |
Cpt. Playboy |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.