September 15, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Z Z Tiger 1.40 1.8 3-1
2 2 Dannie Joe 1.60 2.9 5-1
5 5 Perfect Portrait 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Solar Grace 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Terajoule 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lion Command 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Royal Seeker 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Victor’s Show 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 June Sixth 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Derby Factor 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mr. Esken 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lemon Crush 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Belle Monte 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Demigoddess 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Snaked 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Warm It Up 4.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stella Sweeper 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Pray for Corday 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Peachy 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Curlina Curlina 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Grecian Fort 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Princess Nicole 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Barretts Debutante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Square Peggy 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Naughty Tiger 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Kim K 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Shanghai Barbie 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Derby Royalty 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Buck Duane 1.60 2.1 4-1
2 2 Lucky Mesquite 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Irish Ballad 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 R Matineigh Idol 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Dynamic Duo 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Raise the Gamble 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pioneerof the West 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 We Go Now 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bourque 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Rolls Royce Deal 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Schoenhardt 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Harrovian 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runninfromthelaw 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Midnight Miracle 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Missmachupicchu 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Zip’s Secret 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Secret Maneuver 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Time for Suzzie 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lauren’s Ladd 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Super Sol 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Jan’s Reserve 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Catfish Hunter 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 David’s Memory 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Royal Creed 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 The Rule of King’s 20.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.