September 15, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Z Z Tiger | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dannie Joe | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Portrait | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solar Grace | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Terajoule | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lion Command | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Seeker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victor’s Show | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | June Sixth | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Factor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Esken | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Crush | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle Monte | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demigoddess | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snaked | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warm It Up | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stella Sweeper | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pray for Corday | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peachy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlina Curlina | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Fort | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Nicole | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Barretts Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Square Peggy | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Tiger | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kim K | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Barbie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Royalty | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buck Duane | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Mesquite | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Ballad | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Matineigh Idol | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Duo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raise the Gamble | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pioneerof the West | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | We Go Now | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourque | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rolls Royce Deal | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schoenhardt | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harrovian | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runninfromthelaw | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Miracle | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Missmachupicchu | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zip’s Secret | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Maneuver | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Time for Suzzie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lauren’s Ladd | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Super Sol | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jan’s Reserve | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catfish Hunter | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | David’s Memory | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Creed | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Rule of King’s | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.