September 15, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sky Magician 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Grand River 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Hall Pass 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Quality Matters 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Snidely 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Total Bien 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Seven On the Rocks 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Top Hat Ragtop 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Make Munny Moves 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 To Be Or Not to Be 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Stratosphera 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Baltimore Babe 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Giggle Byte 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Reconsider It 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Charlie’s Lulu 30.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Pass a Mento 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Simonela 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Princess Rosie 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Tilaka 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Happy Lantern 15.00 4.8 9-1
12 7 Sipping Champagne 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Out of the Way 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sugar Shack 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Free Kitty 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 5 Malibu Surprise 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Acting Chipper 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lady Breanna 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Love Me Forever 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Matador 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mythos 2.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Bungalow 1.60 3.5 7-1
6 6 Gotham News 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Qualify 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Cause He’s Western 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lill Mave 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Love to Share 2.00 SCRATCH
6A 6 Running Tide 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lear Avia 12.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Artiful Move 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 5 Janelle Dreams 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Streets On Fire 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lemon Avocado 15.00 4.4 8-1
12A 8 Scip It All 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Lost Scroll 20.00 5 9-1
7 4 Andthentheresthat 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 6 Agitate 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rye Patch 10.00 SCRATCH
14B 14 Silver Dagger 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Whateverybodywants 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Intrepid Citizen 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 He’s One Wild Dude 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Captain Dixie 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 No Knock Raid 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Brickyard Kitten 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Charlie Mops 3.50 SCRATCH
6A 2 Spirit Grabber 2.00 2.5 5-1
11 5 Gold Man 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 1 Double Whammy 4.50 3.4 6-1
7B 3 Worth His Salt 3.00 3.7 7-1
9 4 Whiskey Seven 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Martywiththeparty 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Key Mono 1.60 2.9 6-1
3 3 Hurler 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Icelake 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Drive At Nite 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 It’s a Plane 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Carysfort Reef 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Summer Frock 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Racinginthestreet 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Northern Eclipse 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sweet Yare N Dira 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Billyscrystalball 20.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Elusive Joni 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 5 Keep Your Distance 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Lady by Choice 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Fashion Break 12.00 4.7 9-1
11 6 Kentucky Lady 30.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Nth Degree 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Love’s Legend 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Untaken 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Setubal 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Unlucky Hillary 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Emma’sdiamonddiva 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Justa Scoch 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Claravoyant 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Rockin Ruth 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Love N Kimestry 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Pekin 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Dove Dynasty 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Creepy the Crab 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Scoop N Nailz 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Where’s the Ben’s 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Tarahumar 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Kaz Country 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rapunzels Cat 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Stay On Point 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Smart Two a T 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 8 Army Grey 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 6 Wilko’s Goldeneye 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 A Lotta Wine 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 My Pal Jerry 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Runabout 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Big Bad Ben 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Federal Walk 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Valadier 1.40 1.8 3-1
7 7 Worktab 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Jericho Marsh 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Smarter Than Us 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Bindlor 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Im the Game 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Wise Story 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Eighty Bucks 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Buster’s Brother 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.