September 15, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Entree |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Curioso |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quasar Moon |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shazier |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Homedrill |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Macho Mania |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Farquhar |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vijay |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roaring Ocean |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bun Bun |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tikitaca |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bionsand |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fun and Games |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Surprise |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rethinkme |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leading You On |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Indian Myth |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Princes Dynamite |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Hot Fudge Honey |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zao’s Dreams |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Noncents |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Oblio’s Wish |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jeltrin |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Poesia |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Me Gusta Papi |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dixie Sweetness |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yita |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Abuela’s Love |
1.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lailoni |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trunk of Money |
1.80 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chic and Sexy |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wicked Mandate |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Princess Zaya |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Sarasota Star |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Dointhewatusi |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Durven |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Got Glee |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gift of Glory |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Natrona Girl |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Hotty Toddy |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Gio Patricia |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
12 |
11 |
Extra Salsa |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
13 |
12 |
Ms. Violette |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Miss Sophia’s Star |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Faithful Sue |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sister Drama |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
10 |
Draft |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
2 |
Troya |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Forty’s Sweetheart |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gemstone Linda |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Power Jak |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Threat |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Italian Smile |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lexi’s Doll |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clouded Appeal |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dancing Noelle |
4.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Changing Leads |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Arpinella |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Mason’s Song |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Southern Cal |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
Diamond Majesty |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Immunity |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Smart Return |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hopetown |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Gunship |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Darn That Parker |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
14 |
12 |
Cape Dynasty |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Going to the Beach |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Di Maestro |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Grand Jr |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Get a Move On It |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
11 |
10 |
Independent Worker |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
New Year |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Nairobi |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sir Jak |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Loudon’s Song |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Dr. Devera’s Way |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Cosmic Shift |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
My Own Mo |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Phil the Vibe |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
1 |
Winter’s Wonder |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
12 |
11 |
First and Three |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
13 |
12 |
King Leonardo |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
10 |
Imperial Majesty |
30.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
5 |
4 |
Fourth Design |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Competitive Player |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Heiressall |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Touch of Quality |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
R Little Secret |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Picara |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Celtic Moonlight |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heavens Pulpit |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bright Venezuelan |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Who’s Calling |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Richie’s Sister |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lady Greatness |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Cowtown Jane |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Salsalida |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dreamy Martini |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Catana’s Edge |
1.20 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sebas Ranger |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Il Faraone |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bluegrass Envy |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stay in Cruise |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jackism |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hy Dandy |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seventyseven Stone |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Miss Gracie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lisa Limon |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Youvegottopaytopla |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dahlonega |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
7 |
Treasure for Gold |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Shanghai Starlet |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Midnight Soiree |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Frolic |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
8 |
Weekend Mischief |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Cry Uncle |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Florida Fuego |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
5 |
Whiteheelgirl |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tapete Claire |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Classy Girl |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Chief Bow No Move |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Get Over It |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Black Rubi |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Vino de Pago |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
2 |
First Off |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
5 |
Love for Ovie |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
7 |
Mending Souls |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
13 |
9 |
Bonnie Scot |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
14 |
10 |
Dreamingofmermaids |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
12 |
8 |
Glotonasa |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
1 |
Belinda |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
6 |
White Beauty |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
4 |
La Chalupa |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
3 |
Court House Kitty |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.