September 15, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tidy Stripe | 1.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atalantia | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Wind | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Jumpinanda Jivin | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing D. R. | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Cross | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smoky Smoke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Savage Music | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Winning Drive | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smithwick’s Spice | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tyger Bright | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Diplomat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Decisively | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Always His Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Smartness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stay Awesome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Maccabee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Chirping | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | El Soldador | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Razzy’s Reward | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Laser Focus | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ataway Max | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dukin’ With Dale | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Bond | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. October | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tequesta Storm | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arizona Baby | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Small Giant | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Durrett Lane | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Voyage | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Conscripted | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Eyeing Victory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cherry Island | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Howboutdempats | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gilgimesh | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cullasaja King | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fo’c’sle | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Most Likely | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sonora | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Socially Driven | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Mission | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trickizar | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Nekia | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nora’s Drama | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Contrarity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Bioterp | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Little United | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mast Cove | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Trusty Roll | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pretti Tricki | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lady Keswick | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Unbridled Escape | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dat Dares Gold | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Intractable | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Stella Nova | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Buff’s in Love | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Why Not Be Sexy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | R Lucky Charm | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Porte Cochere | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lynnie B | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Foxy Joxy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scorpion Dancer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Big Momma | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.