Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 15, 2018

September 15, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tidy Stripe 1.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Atalantia 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Northern Wind 1.80 3.6 7-1
3 3 A Jumpinanda Jivin 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Blazing D. R. 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Double Cross 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smoky Smoke 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Savage Music 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Winning Drive 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Smithwick’s Spice 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tyger Bright 10.00 4 7-1
3 2 American Diplomat 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Decisively 6.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tiz Always His Way 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Smartness 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stay Awesome 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Maccabee 3.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Chirping 1.20 2.9 6-1
5 3 El Soldador 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Razzy’s Reward 20.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Laser Focus 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Ataway Max 8.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dukin’ With Dale 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Sir Bond 2.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Mr. October 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tequesta Storm 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Arizona Baby 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Small Giant 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Durrett Lane 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Majestic Voyage 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Conscripted 1.40 SCRATCH
3 3 Eyeing Victory 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cherry Island 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Howboutdempats 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 3 Gilgimesh 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cullasaja King 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 4 Fo’c’sle 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 5 Most Likely 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sonora 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Socially Driven 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Single Mission 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Trickizar 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Queen Nekia 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Nora’s Drama 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Contrarity 6.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Bioterp 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Little United 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mast Cove 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 7 Trusty Roll 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 1 Pretti Tricki 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Lady Keswick 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Unbridled Escape 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 3 Dat Dares Gold 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 2 Intractable 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 8 Stella Nova 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 5 Buff’s in Love 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Why Not Be Sexy 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 R Lucky Charm 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Porte Cochere 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Lynnie B 4.00 3 6-1
5 4 Foxy Joxy 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Scorpion Dancer 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Big Momma 8.00 4.6 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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