September 15, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Etruscan | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swivel | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its All Relevant | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparty Boy | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orpheus (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cody’s Notes | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Pakhet | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Multi Strategy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heroic Activist | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasminum | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elite Mom | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Ten | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hand Rail | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Jackie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’llhandalthecash | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Entrez Encore | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Keeneasabean | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Harley Q | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Caralicious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Posse’s Number | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Freddymo Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Plink Freud | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Itsakeyper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eighty Seven North | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Trumpit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 8 | Jot | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mike’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Corey Scores | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Aquariva | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Ruvies in Time | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Rare Gift | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Call It a Truce | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Little Big Risk | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Courageous Queen | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malarkey | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tayler’s the Boss | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simona | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solitary Gem | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cathy Naz | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eight Minute Ellie | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Route | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing Justine | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Catsoutofthebag | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fierce Scarlett | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oceans of Love | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Brooke Marie | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Musical Lute | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Dynamite | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the Town | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moving Moon (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dizzy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bramble Bay | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Retro Street | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Nymphesa (GER) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild Colonial Boy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mango M | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New Jersey John | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ides of Arch | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormy Highway | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Steelersfanforlife | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Accolade | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | American Ninja | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Palladian Bridge | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ascot Walk | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curiousncuriouser | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Sands | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy’s Song | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiznow’s Smile | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Volodina | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Canny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Arch of Troy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blue Atlas | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Enthusiastic Gal | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Cruisewithbrandon | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Three | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sands Point S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capla Temptress (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barkaa (FR) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colonia (FR) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Californiagoldrush | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reversethedecision | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Message | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victorine (FR) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadan (FR) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Held Accountable | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Beautiful Buzz | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Girl Abby | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Karen’s Gem | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Timeless Beauty | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tee Up | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reata’s Reward | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elizabeth Nicole | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shanghai Glory | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mercurian | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.