September 14, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Jammer |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Gold Bridle |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Volpinator |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Native Flora |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
3 |
Smokin Hot Factor |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
6 |
Zig Zillion |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Waterhaven |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
7 |
Preachin’ George |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
4 |
Rule Yourself |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Great Nation |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
5 |
Crafty Estate |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
12 |
8 |
Smash Williams |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Follow the Dog |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gimme Some Truth |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Danz a Rebel |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reds Winning Call |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Passcode |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
V. I. P. Ticket |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Johnny Wishbone |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Arkadag |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Hepcat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Valley Cal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Look Within |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Wise Men |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Calvi |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Zaptuit |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Well in Tune |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Keoni |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sofranko |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Telling Warrior |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
3 |
We Made It |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
6 |
Lovely Games |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Jeremiah John |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
4 |
Hunt Me Down |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
5 |
What a Hoot |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Simpson |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Munny Time |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
You Can Never Tell |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arrive in Style |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pudding |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Railmaster |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Magician |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9A |
9 |
Finbar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Uhwarrie Sky |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Rough Night |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13A |
13 |
High Society |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Snake Oil Charlie |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Glennrichment |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Three to Thirteen |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swinging Star |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roman Warrior |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Alkasser (IRE) |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncle Billy |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Kierland |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Gio Dude |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Hyperlapse (IRE) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Benevolent Prince |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Bridger |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Inchesky (IRE) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Nicki de Nephew |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
His Royal Majesty |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Huyana |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Elementary |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
7 |
Eastport |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
14 |
8 |
Throw the Deuce |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kopper Wired |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
5 |
Publishanditerate |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
6 |
Sparty |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Nico Bree N Teej |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
You’re Killin Me |
4.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Home Run Maker |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bo Vuk |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gnarly |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Megacity |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Correjon |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Belial |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Congrats Gal |
0.40 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barbsgray Lion |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Come On Callie |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lucky Be a Lady |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Knock Out Kid |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Elysium |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Refunds |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Call Me Jelly Roll |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Onemoregreattime |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
King’s House |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Regalian |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dr Bolt |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mesotherm |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Cat |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jiffy Josh |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Rosuri |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Kim’s Pet |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sip of Sunshine |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Star |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Singinginstilettos |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boom Boom Gone |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
My Muchacha |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sun Valley Star |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.