September 14, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Orpheus (ARG) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Halloween Horror | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Old Upstart | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ranger in Paradise | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Global Positioning | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pegasus Red | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Quietude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tiztinabella | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kitty’s Legacy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Espresso Shot | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Two Cent Tootsie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Honorable Rose | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Love and Love | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Miss Flambe | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Kathy’s Cause | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Princess Pinky | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Gypsy Mama | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | She Makes Me Smile | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Vicki | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Scripted | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Annie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Eighty Eight | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick On the Draw | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Formal Event | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You Promise | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alternative Energy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Halsey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Valentines Romance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rarities | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cover Model | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Tapping Colors | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dominance | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Thing | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moviemaker | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Daddy’s Melody | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | True Yankee | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Play Unified | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Picture Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Black Canary | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quality Time (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sugar Queen | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sister Sophia | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Annie Rocks | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Charming Cara | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Fire | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Annette’s Humor | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alphabetting | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | L. A. Page | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salt Hay Bay | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mimic | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rossby | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’s Sis | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catch My Breath | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Flair | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Brown Cat | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hera | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fast Track Kathern | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Amazing Audrey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Summer Squeeze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Theaterintheround | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Hexameter | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Dame | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aikenetta | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Muchacha Uno | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Classic Lady | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Radiant Beauty | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mentality | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | First Appeal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Pauseforthecause | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilburnmoney | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Noble Freud | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Summer Sweet | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Inheritance | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mystique | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Causforcelebration | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zelenka | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Thefinalcrazydude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tell Me Ma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Good Old Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stag of Sylvia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Straitouta Congtin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tangra | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rogue Nation | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tammany Giant | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Shuffling Madness | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Back of the Watch | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Behavior | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Martini Lane | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Foxie’s First Pick | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Ridolfo | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.