September 13, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Easy Keeper | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No New Friends | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Clem | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R B Eye | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Shaq | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impression | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gracida | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accreditation | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stylistics United | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jersey’s Heat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sellwood | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trojan Spirit | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Croatian | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capall | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Spirit | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Brew Kid | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Classical | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Ice Storm | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hotitude | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blueberry Princess | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Superhotamolly | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause Why | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Pet | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Carmelita | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s All In | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Cruze | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nova | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Groom | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fender Bender | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Dancer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Convince | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Sunrise | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Now Blessed | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensible Thoughts | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Fox | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Journal Entry | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monterey Shale | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Pass | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Karma | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lambo Luxx | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin Monarcho | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tasunke Witco | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Generous Pour | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sought More Pep | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | If You Like It | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dizzy Diva | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Leia | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zuzanna | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Callie Mesa | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.