September 12, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Great Kahuna | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin Creek | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riverboat Gambler | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Station Rock | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Dividend | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Miss Danielle | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Jenny’s Victory | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Sage | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Rose Ring | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Promise Me Bourbon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Gals Got Rhythm | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tripwire | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hambone | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Crusader | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jungle Fighter | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inclusive | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Melody | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Winston | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Bella | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Rhapsody | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ask the Boss | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheztenthehardway | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Saucy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Rosebud | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zdenka | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apache Gal | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run for Peace | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Gizmo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzle Me | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farfalla | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victor’s Real Life | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overturned | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Vision | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamin On a Cloud | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quench My Thirst | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back to Us | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Integrious | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Firey and Gorgeous | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Heart | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ingordwetrust | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | A B Codeofhonor | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Phil in the Blank | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Five | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Valiant Flame | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Be the Change | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Budding | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Corky’s the Name | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holidejavu | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dontdropurcrop | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Bliss | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quixotical | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somersby | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duchess of Lynn | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Blessing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Bold n’ Foxy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.